Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.455172 0.530337 0.613696 0.712951 0.827883 0.956755 1.112213
2025-02-16 0.331027 0.431222 0.554815 0.718285 0.928670 1.190215 1.540042
2025-02-23 0.262302 0.370042 0.513407 0.717723 1.001087 1.379918 1.924760
2025-03-02 0.214978 0.323720 0.477658 0.710804 1.054396 1.541605 2.284657
2025-03-09 0.182451 0.290737 0.452472 0.710657 1.111608 1.709690 2.668973
2025-03-16 0.151730 0.254483 0.415567 0.685205 1.124143 1.809344 2.959133
2025-03-23 0.141770 0.248928 0.424350 0.730689 1.250751 2.096076 3.572605
2025-03-30 0.121623 0.223067 0.396100 0.710650 1.266298 2.204629 3.906834
2025-04-06 0.104415 0.199534 0.368180 0.686550 1.270314 2.292035 4.212340
2025-04-13 0.090410 0.179628 0.343705 0.664703 1.274362 2.377980 4.522508
2025-04-20 0.082223 0.169430 0.335401 0.671121 1.330037 2.560903 5.028113
2025-04-27 0.078480 0.167343 0.341982 0.706444 1.444070 2.862968 5.790598
2025-05-04 0.072871 0.160917 0.339717 0.724948 1.529390 3.123695 6.511502
2025-05-11 0.066837 0.152775 0.333028 0.733772 1.596753 3.357937 7.209983
2025-05-18 0.060729 0.143531 0.322722 0.733368 1.644316 3.556630 7.857117
2025-05-25 0.054829 0.133868 0.310184 0.726310 1.676348 3.725971 8.460809
2025-06-01 0.050144 0.126326 0.301312 0.726160 1.723298 3.931703 9.166571
2025-06-08 0.044252 0.115012 0.282335 0.700164 1.708080 3.999107 9.570163
2025-06-15 0.043548 0.116429 0.293371 0.746620 1.867443 4.475653 10.965862
2025-06-22 0.038962 0.107283 0.277757 0.726153 1.863891 4.576697 11.490260
2025-06-29 0.034680 0.098295 0.261357 0.701538 1.846968 4.643971 11.940505
2025-07-06 0.030993 0.090369 0.246615 0.679224 1.832981 4.716459 12.411467
2025-07-13 0.029013 0.086889 0.243020 0.685779 1.894319 4.981472 13.398181